FRIDAY 6 NOVEMBER 2026OPEN-SOURCE INTELLIGENCE ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY · UPDATED FOUR TIMES A DAY

Counter-terrorism · Intelligence Brief · Threat level Moderate

US Judge Critiques Planned Deportation of Iranian Immigrants to Iran During Wartime

ABC11 reported that, at an October 15, 2026 federal court hearing, the Trump administration disclosed plans to deport Iranian detainees to Iran through third countries, and that Judge Ana Reyes ordered advance notice before any such removals.

How sure we are · “Probably”

56%

RemoteEven chanceAlmost certain

Competing explanations we weighed

H-A58%
H-B22%
H-C12%
H-D3%

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Weekly Intelligence Assessment: 2026-10-25 — 2026-11-01

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Weekly intelligence assessment 2026-10-25 — 2026-11-01 Key judgments · Regional outlook · Indicators to watch WorldWideWatchers

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